Delayed discharge after total hip arthroplasty is associated with an increased risk of complications ==================================================================================================== * Mina W. Morcos * Lauren Nowak * Emil Schemitsch ## Abstract **Background:** The purpose of this study was to evaluate the influence of discharge timing on 30-day complication rates following total hip arthroplasty. **Methods:** We identified patients who underwent total hip arthroplasty between 2011 and 2017 from the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (NSQIP) database. Using propensity score matching, we matched patients who were discharged from the hospital on the day of surgery to those discharged on postoperative days 1, 2, 3 and 4, respectively. We used multivariable logistic regression to determine if the rates of complications and readmission differed depending on length of stay. **Results:** We identified 141 594 patients who underwent total hip arthroplasty (average age 64.7 [standard deviation (SD) 11.4] yr) from the NSQIP database. The average length of stay was 2.3 days and decreased from 2.8 (SD 0.7) days in 2011 to 1.9 (0.9) days in 2017. The adjusted odds of a major complication increased by 1.33 (1.09–1.61) and 1.41 (1.05–2.21) for patients discharged on postoperative day 3 and 4, respectively, compared with patients discharged on postoperative day 2. Similarly, the adjusted odds of a minor complication increased by 1.22 (1.03–1.43) and 1.58 (1.11–2.26) for patients discharged on postoperative days 3 and 4, respectively, compared with those discharged on postoperative day 2. We found no difference in the risk of major or minor complications between patients discharged on the day of surgery or postoperative day 1 compared with patients discharged on postoperative day 2. We also found that a length of stay of 3 or 4 days increased the risk of readmission (odds ratio [OR] 1.15, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.03–1.29, and OR 1.18, 95% CI 1.08–1.85, respectively) compared with a length of stay of 2 days. **Conclusion:** Our data suggest that discharge on postoperative days 0–2 is associated with the lowest risk of 30-day complications following total hip arthroplasty. These findings support early discharge after total hip arthroplasty; however, more prospective clinical data are required to determine the optimal length of stay following total hip arthroplasty. Total hip arthroplasty (THA) is one of the most common orthopedic procedures, and it is among the procedures associated with the highest surgical expenditures in some health care systems. Furthermore, the number of THAs performed has been steadily increasing over the past decade and is projected to grow by 174% by 2030 in the United States.1,2 One of the primary drivers of the cost of THA is hospital length of stay.3,4 Some have proposed that shorter lengths of stay (LOS) may reduce the cost of THA without increasing the risk of complications. A 2016 systematic review of inpatient versus outpatient THA and total knee arthroplasty (TKA) found no difference in adverse events between groups and that outpatient surgery was associated with lower hospital costs.5 Several studies have found no difference in complication rates between patients discharged early and late following THA. In 2016 Sutton and colleagues compared the outcomes of patients undergoing THA and TKA who were discharged within 2 days with those of patients discharged on days 3–4 using American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (NSQIP) data from 2011 and 2012 and concluded that early discharge was not associated with a higher risk of complications.6 To our knowledge, no previous studies have evaluated the impact of LOS on the basis of a day-to-day comparison in an attempt to identify the optimal LOS following THA. In addition, as early discharge has become increasingly popular over the past decade, the effect of LOS on morbidity following THA warrants further study with more recent data. The purpose of our study was to evaluate the effect of LOS on rates of short-term complications and readmission following THA and to determine if there is a specific LOS associated with better or worse outcomes. ## Methods ### Data sources and cohort development We conducted a retrospective analysis using the NSQIP database. NSQIP collects data on more than 150 variables, is highly regulated and has an agreement rate of 98% with chart review.7 We identified all patients aged 18 years and older who underwent THA between 2011 and 2017 using the Current Procedural Terminology (CPT) code 27130 (arthroplasty, acetabular and proximal femoral prosthetic replacement [total hip arthroplasty], with or without autograft or allograft). We excluded patients with LOS longer than 4 days to eliminate outliers. We also excluded patients whose time to complication was shorter than their LOS to exclude patients who were discharged late because of a complication. ### Covariables We ascertained patient characteristics including age, sex, American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) classification, body mass index (BMI), functional and smoking status and preoperative hematocrit, as well as comorbidities (including hypertension, diabetes, congestive heart failure [CHF] and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease [COPD]). We also catalogued operation length and anesthesia type (including general, epidural or spinal anesthetic). ### Outcomes Our primary outcome was major complications within 30 days of the initial procedure. These included myocardial infarction (MI), deep vein thrombosis (DVT), pulmonary embolism (PE), stroke, septic shock, cardiac arrest, deep surgical site infection (SSI), unplanned reintubation, on ventilator for more than 48 hours and acute renal failure. Our secondary outcomes included minor complications (superficial SSI, pneumonia, urinary tract infection, wound dehiscence and renal insufficiency) and hospital readmission. ### Statistical analysis We report descriptive statistics, including means, standard deviations (SD) and frequencies for all variables of interest. We used multivariable Poisson regression to identify independent predictors of LOS. We used propensity score matching to ensure comparability between groups. We used patients discharged on the day of surgery as the cases because this was the smallest group, and these patients tended to be younger and healthier. Each patient discharged on the day of surgery was matched 1 to 9 patients discharged on postoperative day 1, 1 to 23 patients discharged on postoperative day 2, 1 to 35 patients discharged on postoperative day 3, and 1 to 3 patients discharged on postoperative day 4. We retained all patients who had at least 1 eligible control. We hand-matched for age (± 3 yr), BMI (± 2 points), sex and ASA class, and we included all other variables in the propensity scores. We used a caliper of 0.2 SD. We used multivariable logistic regression to evaluate the association between LOS and the odds of complications and readmissions while adjusting for other relevant variables. For the logistic regression analyses, we evaluated LOS as a categorical variable to determine if there was a specific discharge timing associated with better or worse outcomes. We also dichotomized patients into those whose LOS was 0–2 days versus 3–4 days and present these analyses in Appendix 1 (Tables A1–A4, available at [www.canjsurg.ca/lookup/doi/10.1503/cjs.021219/tab-related-content](http://www.canjsurg.ca/lookup/doi/10.1503/cjs.021219/tab-related-content)). We checked the models for multi-collinearity using tolerance and variance inflation factors and evaluated the fit of each model using C-statistics and Hosmer–Lemeshow tests. All statistical analyses were performed using SAS 9.4 (SAS Institute). The level of significance was set as *p* less than 0.05. ## Results We identified 141 594 patients who underwent THA (average age 64.7 [SD 11.4] yr) from the database. The average LOS was 2.3 days; it decreased from 2.8 (SD 0.7) days in 2011 to 1.9 (SD 0.9) days in 2017. Following matching, we retained 54 422 patients (average age 65.5 [SD 9.4] yr, average LOS 2.4 [SD 0.8] d). We present the characteristics of the matched and unmatched cohorts in Table 1 and Table 2. View this table: [Table 1](http://canjsurg.ca/content/65/5/E593/T1) Table 1 Characeristics of patients in the unmatched cohorts for length of hospital stay View this table: [Table 2](http://canjsurg.ca/content/65/5/E593/T2) Table 2 Characteristics of patients after propensity score matching for length of hospital stay We identified older age, female sex, a higher BMI, longer operation length, ASA class 4 (v. 1), COPD, bleeding disorder, diabetes, steroid use, current smoking, dependent functional status and lower preoperative hematocrit as independent predictors of LOS. In contrast, ASA class 2 (v. 1) and neuraxial anesthesia (v. general) were associated with a shorter LOS. We present the multivariable analysis of independent predictors of LOS in Table 3. View this table: [Table 3](http://canjsurg.ca/content/65/5/E593/T3) Table 3 Independent predictors of length of hospital stay In the matched cohort, a total of 545 (1.0%) patients experienced a major complication, 754 (1.4%) experienced a minor complication and 1579 (2.9%) were readmitted within 30 days of the initial procedure. We present unadjusted rates of total complications and readmission in Table 4, and the most common reasons for readmission in Appendix 1 (Tables A5 and A6). View this table: [Table 4](http://canjsurg.ca/content/65/5/E593/T4) Table 4 Unadjusted rates of specific complications and readmission after propensity score matching Following covariable adjustment, patients discharged on postoperative days 3 and 4 had increased odds of major complications (odds ratio [OR] 1.33, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.09–1.61, and OR 1.41, 95% CI 1.05–2.21, respectively), compared with patients discharged on postoperative day 2. Similarly, patients discharged on days 3 and 4 had an increased odds of minor complications (OR 1.22, 95% CI 1.03–1.43, and OR 1.58, 95% CI 1.11–2.26, respectively), compared with patients with a 2-day LOS. We found no difference in the odds of major or minor complications between patients discharged on the day of surgery or on postoperative day 1 compared with patients discharged on postoperative day 2 (Table 5). View this table: [Table 5](http://canjsurg.ca/content/65/5/E593/T5) Table 5 Multivariable logistic regression analyses for each outcome for propensity matched cohorts We also found that prolonged LOS increased the odds of readmission. After we adjusted for potential confounders, an LOS of 3 or 4 days increased the odds of readmission (OR 1.15, 95% CI 1.03–1.29, and OR 1.18, 95% CI 1.08–1.85, respectively), compared with patients discharged on postoperative day 2. ## Discussion To our knowledge, ours is the first study evaluating the impact of LOS on a day-to-day basis following THA. We have shown that discharge on postoperative days 0–2 may be associated with better outcomes than discharge 3 or 4 days following THA and that there may be no increased risk of adverse events following outpatient THA. Our study expands upon previous studies evaluating the impact of LOS on outcomes following THA. In 2016, Sutton and colleagues found that that early discharge (LOS 0–2 d) was not associated with a higher risk of overall complications than discharge on day 3 or 4.6 Our results confirm these findings with more recent data and expand upon their results by separately evaluating discharge on the day of surgery and postoperative days 1 and 2. These data suggest that there may be no difference in complications between discharge on the day of surgery or the day after surgery compared with discharge on postoperative day 2. Likewise, Basques and colleagues compared the outcomes of patients undergoing THA or TKA as either an outpatient (same-day discharge) or inpatient (discharge ≥ 1 d postoperatively) via propensity score matching.8 They found no differences in 30-day complications or readmission between discharge groups. Unfortunately, their multivariable analyses for readmission included only 13 events, indicating that their model for this outcome was overfitted. In addition, while the authors included age, sex, BMI, smoking status, ASA class, anesthesia type and some comorbidities in their propensity scores, they did not account for other potential confounders such as functional status, preoperative hematocrit or steroid use, which we have shown can affect patients’ LOS. Further, we believe that grouping all patients discharged 1 or more days after surgery oversimplifies the potential effect of discharge on postoperative day 1 or 2 versus postoperative day 3 or 4. Lovecchio and colleagues used NSQIP data from 2011–2013 to compare the outcomes of patients undergoing outpatient versus “fast-track” (LOS 1–2 d) THA and TKA. Interestingly, after propensity score matching the 2 groups for a variety of covariables, the authors found that the outpatient group had significantly higher rates of overall complications.9 This is different from our results that showed no difference in complication or readmission rates among patients discharged on days 0–1 versus day 2. This could be the result of the authors grouping THA and TKA patients together, as the complication and readmission risk relative to discharge timing following these procedures may be different. In addition, the authors did not include functional status in their propensity score calculation, which we have shown may be associated with LOS. While there may be some overlap with our study and previously published articles, ours is an important addition to the literature for several reasons. First, previous studies have focused mainly on early versus late, or same-day versus inpatient surgery. In contrast, our data evaluate the impact of LOS on a day-to-day basis. Second, we believe that the previous studies were not as comprehensive in terms of potential confounder adjustment. As previously mentioned, none of the studies included functional status, steroid use or anesthesia type. As evidence of the importance of adjusting for these variables, our data indicate that a longer operation time, female sex, older age, higher BMI, steroid use, COPD, bleeding disorder, dependent functional status, current smoking, diabetes, ASA class, anesthesia type and preoperative hematocrit all significantly influence LOS following THA. Finally, unlike previous studies, our data include patients from 2006 to 2017. As the number of hospitals that participate in NSQIP has increased substantially over the years, the inclusion of data from 2016–2017 resulted in an increased sample size of 63 321 patients. Not only does this reflect more recent findings, but it also increases the power of our analyses and allows for more robust multivariable models. ### Limitations Limitations of this study include those inherent in using administrative data. Whereas NSQIP is highly regulated and has shown 98% agreement with chart review, there is always the possibility of coding errors. Furthermore, the NSQIP database allows the analysis only of 30-day outcomes, missing potential intermediate or long-term complications and readmission. Finally, NSQIP does not capture potentially critical clinical variables and outcomes. Therefore, while we believe that this study provides an important addition to the literature surrounding the effect of LOS on 30-day morbidity following THA, prospective clinical studies are required in this area. Our study can serve to generate hypotheses for future clinical studies to determine the optimal discharge date following THA. ## Conclusion Our data indicate that discharge on days 3 and 4 may be associated with a higher risk of morbidity than discharge on days 0–2 after THA. While these data build upon previous evidence in this area, we believe that prospective clinical data are required to determine the optimal length of stay following THA. ## Footnotes * **Competing interests:** E. Schemitsch has received consulting fees from Stryker, Smith & Nephew and Depuy Synthes and institutional research support from Stryker, Zimmer, Depuy Synthes and Smith & Nephew. No other competing interests were declared. * **Contributors:** L. Nowak designed the study. L. Nowak acquired the data, which all authors analyzed. M. Morcos and L. Nowak wrote the article, which L. Nowak and E. Schemitsch critically reviewed. 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