Appendix

Properties of a Diagnostic Test

PropertyReference standard is positiveReference standard is negativeTotal
Test is positiveaba + b
Test is negativecdc + d
Totala + cb + da + b + c + d
Terms and Calculations
a = true-positive results, b = false-positive results, c = false-negative results, d = true-negative results.
Sensitivity = a /(a + c) = true-positive rate = “positivity in disease.” Question answered: What proportion of patients with disease is correctly identified by the test?
Specificity = d/(b + d) = true-negative rate = “negativity in health.” Question answered: What proportion of patients without the disease is correctly identified by the test?
Positive predictive value = a/(a + b). Question answered: What proportion of positive tests is correct?
Negative predictive value = d/(c + d). Question answered: What proportion of negative tests is correct?
Likelihood ratio of a positive test = probability of a positive test in diseased people/probability of a positive test in non-diseased people = true-positive rate/false-positive rate = [a/(a+c)]/[b/(b+d)].
Likelihood ratio of a negative test = probability of a negative test in diseased people/probability of a negative test in non-diseased people = false-negative rate/true-negative rate = [/(a+c)]/[d/(b+d)].