Table 4

Results of 1-way sensitivity analyses

ParameterICER per QALY gained*
Base case analysis6194
Response rate
 30%5679
 90%5943
AAA prevalence
 2%9013
 8%4680
Age at initial screening
 75 y10 912
 80 y18 649
Incidental detection (annually)
 20%7495
 40%11 650
Risk of rupture for large aneurysms (annually)
 10%11 001
 22%4140
Dropout from US surveillance (annually)
 10%6462
 50%9275
Cost of US
 $505073
 $1509316
Cost of inpatient care
 Doubling4611
Cost of morbidity
 Doubling6607
Follow-up by serial CT scan8777
Elective AAA repair by EVAR
 10%6740
 50%8471
Discount rate (cost and QALY)
 0%2445
 3%4493
  • ICER = incremental cost-effectiveness ratio; QALY = quality-adjusted life years; AAA = abdominal aortic aneurysm; US = ultrasonography; EVAR = endovascular aneurysm repair.

  • * CAN$.